Probability and Statistics
Counting, axioms of probability, conditional probability and Bayes' theorem, descriptive statistics, random variables and their distributions, the central limit theorem, confidence intervals and hypothesis tests (z, t, chi-squared).
Probability and Statistics is consistently one of the two heaviest sections of the DA paper (third-party analyses put it at roughly 16 marks in 2024 and 18 in 2025). It is also the foundation for Machine Learning (naive Bayes, LDA, logistic regression) and for the reasoning-under-uncertainty part of AI, so time spent here pays off three times.
What the syllabus lists: counting (permutations and combinations), probability axioms, sample space, events, independent and mutually exclusive events, marginal, conditional and joint probability, Bayes' theorem, conditional expectation and variance, mean, median, mode and standard deviation, correlation and covariance, random variables (discrete with PMFs, continuous with PDFs and CDFs), the uniform, Bernoulli, binomial, exponential, Poisson, normal, standard normal, t and chi-squared distributions, conditional PDFs, the central limit theorem, confidence intervals, and the z-, t- and chi-squared tests.